Verified and updated: November 12, 2026, 4:44 a.m. Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT, UTC+11:00). The latest Bureau of Meteorology national forecast available at the time of checking, issued at 2:00 p.m. AEDT on November 11, points to another unsettled day across Australia on Thursday, November 12. Severe storms are possible in parts of southeast Queensland, while showers and storms are forecast for northeast and eastern New South Wales. Western Australia, South Australia and the Northern Territory also face storm activity, though the exact risk varies by district.
The Bureau’s outlook describes the east-coast storms on Thursday as less widespread and less impactful than Wednesday’s, but it still identifies a risk of heavy rain, damaging winds and large hail around southeast Queensland. This is a forecast, not confirmation that a severe thunderstorm warning is currently active in every named region. Warnings are issued for specific areas and can change quickly; check the live Bureau warnings before travel or outdoor plans.
For Queensland, the Bureau’s national forecast expects storms to develop from the afternoon along a surface trough, stretching from the northwest through inland areas and down toward the southeast. Severe thunderstorms are possible from Wide Bay toward the Gold Coast, with the risk extending inland toward Toowoomba. The hazards identified in the outlook include heavy rainfall, damaging winds and large hail. Brisbane is forecast to have a possible shower or severe thunderstorm, with a high of 31°C.
In New South Wales, storms are expected to develop from the afternoon in the northeast and extend toward the Central Ranges, potentially as far south as Canberra. The forecast mentions isolated coastal showers and says inland areas are likely to be hot and mostly dry. It does not identify every town that might be affected, so residents should use the Bureau’s location forecast and warning map for a more precise local picture.
Western Australia is forecast to see showers, rain and thunderstorms across southern and eastern parts as a low-pressure system and trough move through. The Bureau says the rain and storms should move off the coast during the day, with some showers lingering along the south coast. In South Australia, storms are expected in the west, potentially bringing heavy rainfall and damaging winds in the far northwest, then extending east toward the western Eyre Peninsula from the evening.
Across the Northern Territory, showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue around the Top End and Kimberley. The Bureau says storms could become severe in the far southwest of the territory, with damaging winds and heavy rainfall possible. Conditions in Victoria and Tasmania are forecast to be mostly dry, while the national outlook also describes southeast Australia as generally dry under high pressure.
The Bureau attributes the Western Australian activity to surface troughs and a low-pressure system. In Queensland and eastern Australia, a surface trough is expected to help storms develop. These features can support rising air and thunderstorm growth when moisture and instability are present. The forecast signals where conditions could support storms; it does not mean every location in a broad region will experience severe weather.
The distinction between a forecast and an active warning matters. A forecast describes expected conditions over a region and period. A severe thunderstorm warning is a current, area-specific alert that identifies a hazard and affected locations. The Bureau’s national video forecast is marked current as of 2:00 p.m. AEDT Wednesday, November 11. At the update time above, that is the latest national forecast verified for this article; check the live warning service for any newer warning or cancellation.
Keep checking the Bureau’s Warnings and Alerts page and local forecasts, especially if you are in southeast Queensland, eastern New South Wales, western or southern Western Australia, western South Australia, or the southwest of the Northern Territory. Use the warning area and issue time shown in the live alert rather than assuming that a state-wide forecast applies uniformly.
Thunderstorm hazards can include sudden intense rain, hail and strong wind gusts. These may affect road visibility, outdoor activities and local travel. Forecast conditions may also change as storms form and move. If a warning is issued for your area, follow the advice in that warning and directions from local emergency authorities. The Bureau’s national forecast for November 12 provides the outlook summarized here; it does not replace live alerts.
The November 12 outlook highlights southeast Queensland, including areas from Wide Bay toward the Gold Coast and inland toward Toowoomba. Severe storms are also possible in the far southwest of the Northern Territory and parts of Western and South Australia.
No. A forecast risk does not mean a warning is active across every listed region. Check the Bureau’s live warnings for current locations, hazards and update times.
The Bureau forecasts storms developing from the afternoon on November 12 in Queensland and in northeast and eastern New South Wales. Local timing can vary, so check the latest location forecast and warnings.
Sources: Australian Bureau of Meteorology, National Weather Forecast: Storms Continue for Much of the Country; Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Warnings and Alerts.
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