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US forecast 200,000 nCoV infections a day on June 6
Update: 05/09/2020
The U.S. can increase the new 200,000 CA nCoV a day in 6 months, the number of deaths can also be doubled, up to about 3,000/day, according to the NYTimes internal document.
This forecast figure is based on a model that retrieves data from the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). The number of new infections is predicted to increase by about 200,000/day at the end of 6 months, many times at about 25,000 CA/day current. The number of deaths from nCoV also increased to about 3,000 days to 1/6, twice the current rate of 1,750 CA/day.
Forecasts given in the context of President Trump urges the state to reopen the economy. The figures also emphasize a serious fact that the significant risks from the epidemic persist. "There is still a large amount of particles will continue to increase the burden", Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
Medical personnel handling nCoV test samples for patients in Seattle, Washington State, USA 9/3. Photo: Reuters.
The Institute of Health Assessment and Measurement Model (IHME) of the University of Washington 4/5 also said about the plan to adjust the number of deaths by nCoV at nearly 135,000, the news is doubled in comparison to the current forecast, 72,433 ca. This institute warns increased travel activity in most states, as well as the easing of community-specific measures projected in the 31 states to 11/5 here, increasing contact between people, may increase the risk of spreading.
Medical experts were concerned that the reopening of the economy could leave America back to the mid-March, when nCoV infections grew too rapidly in some areas, the number of deaths also increased, while the health system was overloaded. US President Trump yesterday 3/5 also said the U.S. can "lose 80,000 – 100,000 people" because of nCoV, beyond the previous predictions of the White House and admitted "that's the worst thing".
America is currently the world's largest translator with over 1.2 million people who are infected with nCoV and nearly 70,000 deaths. About half of the state had limited measures to prevent disease from day 1/5, when the number of new infections began to decline or not increase.
The state of Texas allows businesses to work back in part while in Georgia, nearly every business has been operating. Some medical experts warn Covid-19 can flare back if the states are too rushed open, do not conduct wide-area tests and trace source spread.
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